Should actuarial assessment be the only thing used to assess dangerousness?

Running Head : ACTUARIAL ASSESSMENT OF DANGEROUSNESS

Should actuarial assessment be the only thing used to assess dangerousness

Insert Name

Institution Actuarial assessment of dangerousness

To me , actuarial assessment of dangerousness alone won 't work or give reliable information because of the limitations it has although its predication ways have been related to a strong predictive exactness Therefore this calls for combination of all the methods of assessment to increase the degree of accuracy and reliability as the clinical assessment method depends mainly on specialized judgment which has proved to

some extent to be reliable

Even though latest actuarial method is more reliable and accurate , it only account for more than ten percent while the remaining ninety percent of the difference seen in dangerous offense is unaccounted for hence giving the doubt of using it alone

Although supporters of actuarial prediction method bicker that addition of clinical assessment method will reduce reliability and its accuracy but it has been shown that the actuarial assessment method hides the sensitivity and specificity and can definitely give slightly inaccurate data and this calls for the combination of the two methods to increase reliability of information (Thomas , 2001 . Actuarial assessment is generally used to set up base-line likelihood , where adjustments are made depending on the perceived significance of other obtainable information

The actuarial tool used conceals problems with the sensitivity which is the exactness of grouping an offender . For example with maximum sensitivity identification of a person as a likely recidivists , will score two or...