Describe the normative problem of induction, and explain what Goodman means when he says the old problem has been `dissolved`. Discuss whether Goodman is successful in dissolving the normative problem.

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On the Problem of Induction

A Critique of Nelson Goodman 's Concept of the New Riddle of Induction

The development of the method of induction has been privy to the presentation and solution of riddles . At the initial level of its development , it has been privy to the old riddle of induction discovered by Hume . After the solution of the former riddle , however , a

new riddle of induction was discovered by Nelson Goodman . In lieu of this , this opts to consider the development of the method of induction as a methodology defined by Hume and Goodman 's conception of the Inductive method

Induction refers to a method of reasoning by which a general law or principle is inferred from observed particular instances (Flew 171 The method of inductive inference may be considered as the primary means through which justifications are formulated to show the relationship of evidence towards particular assumptions (Norton 2 . The process of induction , in this sense , may be seen to arise whenever we note that evidence lends support to a hypothesis while in the process failing to establish its deductive certainty . It was such a formulation of the method of induction that enabled the conception of the first riddle What follows is a presentation of the main arguments of the aforementioned riddle as formulated by David Hume

Hume argued that since no necessary connections exists between empirical phenomena , it is always possible that a future observation will prove our inferences wrong no matter how appealing it may have been or how richly supported by past observations . This problem , in the more recent formulations of the problem has been referred to as the uniformity principle [in this sense the lack of such uniformity] . According to the argument , nature has no uniformity . If such is the case it thereby follows that there is no voucher that which ensure the consistency of man 's most refined predictions . It might be argued that such an assumption has never been denied in the formulation of predictions however there has been agreement regarding the results of such an agreement [or lack thereof] within the province of induction . To some it means that induction is never valid or justified , while to others , it means that induction simply calls for different standards of validity (Landesman 164 . The latter view strips the aforementioned riddle [Humean riddle] of its problematic context . This is evident if one considers that since the rules of deductive validity are inapplicable to induction , it cannot be a problem that inductive inference is unavoidably attended by the possibility that a future observation may prove it wrong (Goodman 4 . The old riddle is then dismissed because it cannot possibly be the genuine problem of induction

Fact , Fiction , and Forecast present Goodman 's construal of what he refers to as the new riddle of induction . After refuting...